Official estimates for radio advertising sales for Nov. 2005, released by the Radio Advertising Bureau, topped estimates from Wall Street, though the RAB’s estimates were still relatively dour, showing no growth over 2004 in local and national spot, network and no-spot radio ad sales, Mediapost reports. Local sales climbed 1 percent from the same month last year, while national sales dropped 5 percent during the same period.
Year-to-date, total radio ad sales were flat with the same period in 2004.
In a note sent to investors this morning, Merrill Lynch analyst Laraine Mancini wrote that, “We are maintaining our December industry revenue projection of down 3 percent. Although December appears to be improving sequentially from the trough in October (down 7 percent), radio pacing trends decelerated since October… Therefore, we remain cautious with our December forecast.”
The note added that Merrill Lynch now expects fourth quarter 2005 radio revenue to decline 3.3 percent rather than 3.7 percent as previously predicted.
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