Retail sales data for January from the U.S. Commerce Department (which include non-general merchandise such as autos, gasoline stations and restaurants) show an increase of 0.3 percent seasonally adjusted from December and 4.6 percent unadjusted year over year, the National Retail Federation (NRF) reports (via MarketingCharts).
NRF data (which excludes autos, gas stations, and restaurants) showed an increase of 0.1 percent seasonally adjusted from December and 2.0 percent unadjusted from last year.
Winter weather and clearance sales boosted clothing and clothing accessories figures, but consumers last month were generally focused on buying necessities rather than discretionary items (view table of January retail sales growth/decline among various categories.)
“The January numbers are indicative of the issues consumers are facing, including the housing slump, a sluggish employment sector and high energy prices,” said NRF Chief Economist Rosalind Wells. “We expect to see marginal improvements in the second half of the year once consumers begin to receive their rebate checks.”
In hopes of increasing consumer spending, Congress passed and President Bush signed a $152 billion measure that will provide tax rebate checks amounting to $105.7 billion.
A survey conducted by BIGresearch for the NRF found that consumers plan to spend 40.6% of their rebate checks when they are distributed, providing an immediate $42.9 billion boost to the economy.
MarketingCharts has more findings from the survey, including how rebate checks will be spent.
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